Risk Analysis

Infrastructure network risk analysis: scour at railway bridges

Infrastructure network risk analysis: scour at railway bridges

New paper reports a probabilistic analysis of the risk to the British railway network from scour at bridges.

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Can the past be a reliable guide to the future?

Can the past be a reliable guide to the future?

Many important decisions about planning for flooding rely on statistical assessments of risk. This one-day workshop enabled communication and discussion between academics and practitioners on the technical, practical, scientific and risk management implications of applying non-stationary statistical models to flood event data

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Risk based analysis of small scale, distributed, nature-based flood risk management measures deployed on river networks

Risk based analysis of small scale, distributed, nature-based flood risk management measures deployed on river networks

The environmental community team up with mathematicians to tackle the challenge of understanding the risks associated with nature-based flood risk management measures deployed on river networks.

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A national perspective on the probability of extreme river flows

A national perspective on the probability of extreme river flows

The Government’s 2016 National Flood Resilience Review[1] (NFFR) found that “while the probability of an extreme river flow that could result in a severe flood at any given location is very small, such flows are not unusual when considering the whole country”. This statement was one of the conclusions of the Scientific Advisory Group (SAG) [...]

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Flood resilience in a changing environment: what do recent reviews tell us?

Flood resilience in a changing environment: what do recent reviews tell us?

Flood risk and resilience have been under review in recent years, following severe flooding in 2013/14 and 2015/16, previous flood events and concerns over changes in physical and economic climates. This talk examines some important governmental and technical reviews, discussing scientific themes that run through them: The National Flood Resilience Review (September 2016) House of […]

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Susceptibility of catchments to INTense RAinfall and flooding (SINATRA)

Susceptibility of catchments to INTense RAinfall and flooding (SINATRA)

As part of the SINATRA project, we have worked to identify exceptional “rapid-rise” events, a type of flash flooding, in gauged river flow records in the UK.

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Tools and guidance for covariate analysis of flood and wave threshold exceedances

Tools and guidance for covariate analysis of flood and wave threshold exceedances

This NERC funded project aimed to transfer advances in statistics to flood risk science.

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How well do flood defence models match reality?

How well do flood defence models match reality?

The JBA Trust worked with MSc student Janie Haven to compare national flood risk assessment models with real flood events.

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Multi-objective flood risk management demonstration project

Multi-objective flood risk management demonstration project

The JBA Trust supported the Holnicote Project with a position paper on rural land management change.

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Improving statistical models of large scale flood events

Improving statistical models of large scale flood events

The JBA Trust is working with Lancaster University to develop improved models for extremes of localised and widespread flooding.

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